Institute of Election Analysis

The Voters' Voice

Joshua Leinsdorf, Chief Psephologist

"It doesn't take a lot of intelligence to start a war. It takes a lot more to put an end to a war. Fools can easily start wars, and wise men are left not knowing what to do." Nikita S. Khrushchev, 1970

Links to United States and International Election Returns

Analysis: Israel’s Hamas Truce and Syria Negotiations are Prelude to Iran Attack (June 23, 2008) -

The Genius of Democracy – Voters Reprise the 2000 Presidential Election in the Democratic

Party Nomination Process (June 4, 2008) -

Kentucky and Oregon: Voters Refuse to Quit and Get Off the Fence (May 21, 2008) -

Democrats in Big Hurry to Lose White House, Think They Can Not Lose. Judge Smith and Role

Reversals (May 18, 2008) -

Nebraska and West Virginia Primaries Make Popular Vote a Dead Heat in Democratic

Race (May 14, 2008) -

Obama Regains Popular Vote Lead on Surging Turnout in North Carolina and Indiana (May 8, 2008) -

Somalia is Not A State, Not A Failed State (May 5, 2008) -

Venue Shopping 2008 Election Winners Proves Gore Won in 2000 (May 2, 2008) -

Pennsylvania Gives Clinton Popular Vote Lead,

Obama leads in Caucuses (April 24, 2008) -

The Complete Official 2006 Election Results: Over

 85,481,870 voters; more than 800 million ballots

 cast; 36 Governor’s races; 33 Senate races,

435 House races; over 6,000 state legislators

and 196 ballot questions. Read all about it (April 17, 2008)-

Visit the University Channel: A collection of lectures and

 symposia from universities from around the world.  Free for streaming or

 downloading.  This is the affordable graduate school for which people

who have to work for a living have been waiting.  Check it out, today!

 A veritable cornucopia of delights for intellectuals and the curious. http://uc.princeton.edu

Voters Boost Obama Into Serious Contention (Lincoln’s 199^th Birthday) -

The First Super Tuesday, February 5, 2008: Voters Turn Out; Romney Drops Out; Democrats in Marathon Horse Race; Obama Nips At Hillary’s Heels, Emerges As New JFK (February 8, 2008) -

The Florida 2008 Presidential Primary: The Voters Seize Control of the Candidate Selection Process

(January 31, 2008) -

South Carolina Presidential Primary Results (January 27, 2008) -

Michigan Presidential Primary Results (January 16, 2008) -

Complete and Final Results from the 2008 New Hampshire Presidential Primary: New Hampshire Voters Turn Out in Droves To Make A Brilliant, Difficult First Cut in the 2008 Presidential Race (January 11, 2008) -

Iowa Votes To Protect Its Poll Position in Presidential Nominating Process (January 4, 2008) -

Leinsdorf’s Second Law - Stolen Elections Lead to War: The Years of Lyndon Johnson by Robert Caro (January 4, 2008) -

A Question of Torture: CIA Interrogation from the Cold War to the War on

Terror by Alfred W. McCoy is an important book.  Link to review -

Prime Minister John Howard Becomes the Second Australian Prime Minister in 106 Years to Lose His Seat in Parliament on the Heels of a Crushing Defeat by Kevin Rudd’s Labor Party (November 24, 2007) -

Ornery New Jersey Voters Stay Home in Droves to Send Shock Waves Through Trenton (November 15, 2007 -

 Bush is Turning the United States Into An Israeli Colony (November 4, 2007) -

The Voters’ Strategy for 2008: Brokered Conventions (October 25, 2007) -

Recession, Depression or Recovery: The Effect of the Presidential Election on the Economy (October 1, 2007) -

Bush Endorses Guliani, the Republican Kerry (September 22, 2007) -

Bush's Iraq Trip A Reprise of Carter's Trip to Iran in 1977 (September 16,2007) -

The Quranic Concept of War by Brigadier S.K. Malik, with an introduction by the late General M. Zia-Ul-Haq, Chief of the Pakistan Army Staff and dictator of Pakistan, is a great book about the Islamic approach to war compared to western concepts.  .  Published in 1986, I am the fourth person to take this book out of the Princeton Firestone library in the past 21 years (where General David Patraeus got his Phd.) For a brief excerpt on strategy click on book

icon. (September 4, 2007) -

Is the United States torturing prisoners in Afghanistan, Iraq and Guantanamo?  You bet.  Read a brilliant, first hand account:

FEAR UP HARSH, An Army Interrogator's Dark Journey Through Iraq by Tony Lagouranis and Allen Mikaelian published by

NAL Caliber, New American Library, a division of the Penguin Group ISBN:978-0-451-22112-4 $24.95 (August 23, 2007)

Michael Vick Prosecution Part of Iraq War Propaganda (August 17, 2007) -

Mortgage Meltdown Proves Importance of Illegal Immigrants (August 17, 2007) -

No President Arnold: Governor Schwartzenegger Is the Reason for the

 Weak Republican Presidential Field (August 13, 2007) -

Record 2006 Off-Year Turnout of 85,375,277 Voters Proves Integrity of 2004 Election in Ohio

and Electronic Voting Machines (July 22, 2007) -

The Occupation of Iraq: Winning the War, Losing the Peace by Ali A. Allawi is essential reading for policymakers, soldiers,

relatives of soldiers and voters interested in understanding what happened and what is happening in Iraq.  Allawi left Iraq in 1958, studied in the west,

and returned after the invasion to become defense minister.  He is incredibly knowledgeable and objective.  Allawi has been paying attention to the

details in Iraq for six decades.  Whether one is for the war, against the war or undecided, this book will change your mind about how to proceed.  (July 17, 2007)

Voters Handicap the 2008 presidential race (May 27, 2007) -

Complete, Official, Final 2004 Election Results:

More than 123,271,028 voters casting over 800 million

votes, Dozens of presidential candidates, 33 Senate races,

435 House races; over 5,750 state legislative races and

159 ballot questions.  Read all about it!  (June 18, 2007) -

9/11 Attacks will be the deciding, if not the only, issue

in 2008 Presidential Race (May 19, 2007)-

The Political Publishing Event of the Century:

The Memoirs of Nikita S. Khrushchev.  In three volumes.

 Essential reading for anyone interested in American

foreign policy, politics and history.- (May 27, 2007)

Click on books for link to brief review

Sarkozy Squeaker A Nod Toward Vichy France and War (May 7, 2007) -

Iraq War Already Lost on Unacknowledged Shock Wave of Brain Injuries

(April 28, 2007) -

United States Considered Attacking Iraq in 1958 (April 9, 2007) -

Why the House of Representatives is Spearheading Opposition

to Iraq and Its Impact on the 2008 Presidential Race (March 25, 2007) -

The Crisis of American Nationality (March 16, 2007) -

Can the Democrats and Republicans Snatch Catastrophe from the

Jaws of Defeat in Iraq? (March 8, 2007) -

Bagram Attack is Bush's Mini-Tet and the Cause of Historic Market Decline

(March 1, 2007) -

2008 Presidential Race Already A Disaster (March 1, 2007) -

Time to Take Saddam Hussein Seriously (February 3, 2007) -

The Sixth Year Foreign Policy Curse of the Two Term

United States Presidency (January 30, 2007) -

Fight the Roots of Terror, Not the Symptoms:

Financial Times interview with Abdullah Badawi, the Malaysian prime minister (January 29, 2007) -

Gerald Ford, the Worst President of Modern Times. The Person Responsible for

the Rise of Cheney, Rumsfeld, Bush and Unelected Presidents

(January 13, 2007) -

Bad News for the Legacy Candidates In 2006 Off Year Election

(October 21, 2006) -

Is There Something Rotten In The State Of New Mexico?  Did

Governor Bill Richardson Support George W. Bush in 2004? (October 2, 2006) -

U.S. House Proposal for Voter Photo I.D. and Citizenship Proof is

Playing Politics With the Future of the United States's Democracy

(September 22, 2006) -

Maine Strikes A Blow For Democracy (September 20, 2006) -

9/11 Remembrance - It is important to remember that 15 of the 19 hijackers and Osama Bin Laden are Saudis.

 Rachel Bronson has written THICKER THAN OIL: America's Uneasy Partnership with Saudi Arabia.  Sponsored by the

Council on Foreign Relations, THICKER THAN OIL is like reading a National Security Council briefing book on Saudi-American

relations from the beginning until today.  Absolutely indispensable for anyone who wants to understand the War in Iraq and Middle

East Policy. [Published by Oxford University Press ISBN-13: 978-0-19-516743-6]- (September 11, 2006)

Was Kennedy the First Fragging Fatality of the Vietnam War?  Vietnam War Memoirs Point to the

Involvement of General Paul D. Harkins in Kennedy's Assassination (August 1, 2006) -

Three Essential Books (June 6, 2006) -

Bush Opts For War (May 3, 2006) -

Bush Copies the Errors from John Foster Dulles's Playbook: Treating the

Funding of the Palestinian Authority After Hamas's Victory like the Funding

of the Aswan High Dam (April 17, 2006) -

All Democratic Elections Beginning To Look The Same: Berlusconi Tries to

Pull A Bush (April 17, 2006) -

Ali Baba - Bound, Honor Killing and Group Identity in Water Deficit

Societies (April 10, 2006) -

War With Iran Is Next On Bush's Agenda (St. Patrick's Day, 2006) -

Vice President Cheney's Hunting Accident Possibly Caused by Stroke (February 19, 2006) -

Mob Rule Yields Corrupted Haitian Presidential Election (February 19, 2006) -

The Sinking of Salam 98 is the Objective Correlative for Islamist Violence

 Against the West, The Danish Cartoon of Mohammad is Just the Vehicle of

Its Expression ( February 7, 2006) -

Hamas Landslide in the Palestinian Territories and Iranian Victory of President Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad Presents Unprecedented Opportunity for Middle East Peace - Will the United States and Israel Miss It Again? (January 27, 2006) -

Water, Not Oil, Is The Major Cause of War in the Middle East; and Polygamy Is the Reason For Strong Tribes and Weak States (August 24, 2003,Amended January 27,2006) -

Psephological Reasons Why Alito Should Be Rejected by the Senate (January 16, 2006) -

Eugene McCarthy, 1968 Peace Candidate, dies at 89 (December 13, 2005) -

D.C. Confidential by Christopher Meyer is indispensable Christmas reading or gift (December 4, 2005) -

Worst New Jersey Governor's Race in Modern History (November 16, 2005) -

Link to Joshua Leinsdorf for Princeton Borough Council Homepage - Click on small picture of Joshua Leinsdorf

Ensuring Contested Elections - Leinsdorf Runs for Princeton Borough Council (October 6, 2005) -

Oklahoma Rejects Gas Tax Hike By 7 to 1 (September 21, 2005) -

Essential Reading: Why Love Matters: how affection shapes a baby's brain by Sue Gerhardt (May 3, 2005) - Click on books for link to brief book review

Why Kerry Lost (January 23, 2005) -

Massive Turnout Puts Bush Over the Top - Complete, unofficial, state by state presidential returns from November 2, 2004 election (November 29, 2004) -

The Five Crucial Geographic Regions Needed To Win the Presidency Why Bush Needed Ohio to Win, but Kerry needed Florida and Iowa or New Mexico. The Genius and Necessity of the Electoral College. (November 11, 2004) -

It's Foreign Policy, Stupid: Bush's First Elected Term Won Because Of The War He Helped Start During Term He Stole - Historical Pattern Broken (November 5, 2004) -

Bush Wins Ohio and the Election: Nader Did Not Cost Gore The Election in 2000; but may have cost it to Kerry in 2004: Undecideds Did Not Vote: Iowa Caucuses May No Longer Be Relevant (November 4, 2004) -

The 2004 Presidential Election: Record Turnout Ignored by Candidates, Some Voters Wait Longer to Cast Ballots than Bush and Kerry are Willing to Wait for Results: Democratic Party Dead -Chaos at Inaugural Predicted (November 3, 2004) -

State By State Voter Registration Deadlines and Link to National Voter Registration Form (September 15, 2004) -

Hawaii is becoming a swing state in the 2004 election to focus attention on the state's 1960 electoral vote controversy (October 29, 2004) See Following Article.

How Kennedy Carried Hawaii in 1960 After Nixon's Electors Had Been Certified The Winners By The Governor (August 2, 2001) -

The Voters Have Their Own Campaign Strategy: Massive Turnout set to Yield Split Government; The Senate as a Gyroscope; Everyone Distrusts the Media, So The Decision is Being Left to Small States: A Rerun of 2000 (October 26, 2004) -

Analysis: Garden State Up For Grabs as State Committee Stiffs Kerry (October 15, 2004) -

Here's what the 9/11 Commission Report, Authorized Edition, says on page 161 about Mohammed Atta, the lead hijacker and pilot of American Airlines Flight 11 that crashed into the North Tower of the World Trade Center at 8:46:40 a.m. on September 11, 2001: "To him [Atta], Saddam Hussein was an American stooge set up to give Washington an excuse to intervene in the Middle East." (October 1, 2004)

Bush Campaign Planning To Use War On Terror To Keep Black and Hispanic Voters Away From The Polls (July 10,2004) -

Bush Wins Narrow Victory in New Jersey Primary (June 17, 2004) -

Former Canadian Prime Minister Brian Mulroney's Eulogy of Ronald Reagan : the best of Reagan and one of the greatest eulogies of anyone by anyone ever (delivered June 11, 2004) - Link to Eulogy

Abu Ghraib, Ho Chi Minh and the History of Western Torture of Arabs (June 12, 2004) -

Ronald Reagan Dead at 93. One of the better Presidents. Number 13 (out of 43) in average electoral votes per election. Number 8 in popular vote average. One of only 7 presidents and 8 Americans to receive electoral votes in more than 2 elections. (June 6, 2004) Why It Is An Insult to Reagan's memory for George W. Bush to give the eulogy at his funeral : and Reagan's Farewell Address which includes his warning about the danger of Americans being ignorant of their own history (June 11, 2004) -

Bad News from the Badlands : Democrats Gain One House Seat In South Dakota On Declining Support (June 2, 2004) -

2004 Electors: State By State (May 23, 2004) -

2002 Nevada Ballot Issues Identify The 6% Swing Voters Who Will Decide the November 2, 2004 Presidential Election, Which Will Be Very Close (May 16, 2004) -

Pennsylvania Primary Latest Results (April 28, 2004) -

The 2002 Election Analysis based on Complete, Official Returns. Over 80 million ballots cast, 36 Governor's races, 144 other statewide offices, 34 United States Senate races, 436 Contests for the House of Representatives, 6,220 State Legislature races, 204 Ballot Questions and state by state 1998 to 2002 comparisons of all offices. Read all about it. (April 26, 2004) -

Essential Reading: From Chivalry To Terrorism: War and the Changing Nature of Masculinity, By Leo Braudy In this new book, Braudy shows how the needs and technology of waging war throughout history have been the prime determinants of social conventions, specifically honor and masculinity. It is an indispensable book for anyone interested in understanding the current state of political conflict in the United States today. Near the end, Braudy quotes from an interview with Osama Bin Laden where he explains that even worse than having Saudi Arabia defended by western soldiers, is the fact that some of those soldier/defenders are women. This is an impossible insult to Saudi men in general and Moslem men in particular.(April 1, 2004) (Not an April Fools Joke.)

Link to more commentary and Review of From Chivalry to Terrorism

Illinois Primary Results (March 18, 2004) -

Kerry Gives Bush A Run For His Money In Texas, plus the Louisiana and Florida results (March 10, 2004) -

Super Tuesday Results (March 3, 2004) Bush and Dean Win First Primary (March 4, 2004) -

Hawaii, Idaho and Utah Results, February 24, 2004 -

A Million Wisconsin Voters Keep Options Open: Doom Dean Campaign With Fourth Place Finish (February 18, 2004) -

Kerry Wins in Virginia and the Volunteer State, Bush Runs Third in Tennessee (February 11,2004) -

February 3, 2004 Primary Results -

The 2004 New Hampshire Primary – A landslide for first born white males who attended elite private prep schools, attended Yale University, reject public financing and have graduate degrees. Bush gets less than 80% in uncontested Republican Primary. Complete official final Returns (February 2, 2004) -

The 2000 New Hampshire Primary -

Iowa Passes the Buck and Re-writes the Rules of Engagement (January 21, 2004) -

The Center Cannot Hold: Why the United States is Losing in Iraq (January 11, 2004) -

The 2003 Elections - Bad News for Incumbents (December 5, 2003) -

Schwarzenegger Will Be 8% Better Than Davis and Schwartzman Runs 8th in California Recall Election (October 9, 2003) -

Link to latest California Recall Election Results - http://vote2003.ss.ca.gov/Returns/summary.html

Winning With Wesley: Clark, the Wendell Willkie of the 2004 Campaign (September 25, 2003) -

Proof of Fraud in 2000 Florida Election - This will take a few minutes to load, but it is worth the wait. http://www.ericblumrich.com/gta.html

The California Gubernatorial Recall Election - Another United States Supreme Court Generated Disaster in Democracy (August 8, 2003) -

Summer Reading Spectacular - MADE IN TEXAS, George W. Bush and the Southern Takeover of American Politics, by Michael Lind. Lind, a fifth generation Texan, explores the historical, social, political, economic and religious roots of George W. Bush's philosophy and logic. Published in February, it is written as if the Iraq War had already happened. *****

How Israel Acquired the West Bank and Jerusalem and Why the United States is Following It into Perpetual Warfare and Economic Collapse (March 16, 2003) -

Iraq's Next Dictator, Donald Henry Rumsfeld (February 13, 2003) -

Heredity Power Set to Bring Democracy to Iraq (January 31, 2003) -

Democrats Offer Weakening Field of Candidates (January 14, 2003) -

Bush's selection as president is the cause of the current economic decline. (January 26, 2001) -

When Will It Be Safe To Go Back Into The Markets? (March 20, 2001) -

The Two Party Monopoly Is The Reason Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott, U.S. Senator Bob Smith and former Vice-President Al Gore All Had To Go (December 21, 2002) -

Louisiana Runoff Keeps Democrat Mary Landrieu in the Senate and adds one Democrat to the House (December 8, 2002) -

Like Hitler, Bush Came to Power Legally, but not Democratically - And Just as Hitler Invaded Poland, Bush Wants to Invade Iraq (October 23, 2002 and November 25, 2000) -

Why Bush Wants To Get Rid of Saddam Hussein, The Attack On the French Tanker Limburg Off Yemen, and the Supreme Court's Refusal to Intervene in the New Jersey Senate Race Fiasco (October 8, 2002) -

Attack on Iraq Will Cause Another Great Economic Depression (September 20, 2002) -

Republicans Set To Lose Congress (September 12, 2002) -

National Press Club Remarks, Questions and Answers by Hasan Abdel Rahman, Chief U.S. Representative of the Palestinian National Authority, May 9, 2002 (June 7,2002) -